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0x194795...7a12d1

0x194795...7a12d1
Smart Score
53
Win Rate
20.0%
Total P&L
+$2
Trade Count
23
Sharpe Ratio
1.84
Sortino Ratio
4.67
Max Drawdown
40.3%
ROI
0.2%
Profit Factor
4.76
Kelly Fraction
0.158
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
052.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.3¢35Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL96.2¢40Mar 5
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.7¢30Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY96.3¢40Mar 5
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.8¢30Mar 5
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?SELL95.3¢20Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?SELL98.7¢101Mar 5
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL97.7¢18Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL96.2¢66Mar 5
Trump out as President by March 31?SELL98.1¢60Mar 5
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL97.5¢11Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY97.3¢50Feb 26
Trump out as President by March 31?BUY98.3¢60Feb 26
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY96.3¢66Feb 26
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL98.2¢44Feb 25
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY98.3¢44Feb 25
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?BUY96.3¢20Feb 25
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY97.6¢18Feb 25
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL97.5¢44Feb 25
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY97.6¢44Feb 25

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing52.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.89
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)47.8%
Win Consistency30.0%
Profit Factor1.37
Drawdown Resilience1.10
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.10
Weekly Sharpe est.0.84

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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