0x1b22ec...9a8945

0x1b22ec...9a8945
Smart Score
9
Win Rate
37.1%
Total P&L
+$1.8K
Trade Count
968
Sharpe Ratio
-0.52
Sortino Ratio
-2.27
Max Drawdown
1457939.6%
ROI
42.5%
Profit Factor
1.65
Kelly Fraction
0.146
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
08.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?BUY66.0¢8.35Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?BUY67.0¢8.22Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 6?BUY75.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 6?BUY75.0¢12Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C or below on March 6?BUY13.0¢16.58Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on March 6?BUY75.0¢39.47Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 6?BUY65.0¢5.6Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 6?BUY65.0¢5.6Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 6?BUY75.0¢8Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on March 6?BUY75.0¢30Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on March 6?BUY73.0¢12.05Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on March 6?BUY73.0¢39.95Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on March 6?BUY72.0¢7.13Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C or below on March 6?BUY13.0¢24.4Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on March 6?BUY68.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 54°F or higher on March 6?BUY20.0¢3.19Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 54°F or higher on March 6?BUY20.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 54°F or higher on March 6?BUY20.0¢13.8Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 6?BUY20.0¢18.33Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 6?BUY75.0¢10Mar 4
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%45%< 10%26%10–20%20–30%30–50%15%50–70%11%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing8.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.48
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.0%
Win Consistency33.1%
Profit Factor0.23
Drawdown Resilience0.18
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.18
Weekly Sharpe est.0.14
Trading Activity968 trades · 6 active days
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P&L Calendar
$4,2020d profit6d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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