0x20d250...b9662a

Smart Score

Win Rate

85.7%

Total P&L

+$4

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-2.82

Sortino Ratio

-2.47

Max Drawdown

12909.3%

ROI

0.0%

Profit Factor

3.49

Kelly Fraction

0.611

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

020.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on March 5?	BUY	99.9¢	1,021	Mar 5
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	SELL	99.8¢	861.99	Mar 5
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	99.9¢	861.991	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 4?	BUY	99.9¢	160.47	Mar 4
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	160.63	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 56°F or higher on March 3?	BUY	99.9¢	861.131	Mar 3
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	862	Mar 3
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	1,022.632	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -5°C on March 2?	BUY	99.9¢	1,021.605	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C or higher on March 2?	BUY	99.9¢	920.3	Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 1?	BUY	99.9¢	754.384	Mar 1
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on March 1?	BUY	99.9¢	867.628	Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	100.2	Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets in March 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	800	Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets in March 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	800	Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets in March 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	100	Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets in March 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	100	Feb 28
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	99.5¢	132	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	50.05	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	80.08	Feb 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing20.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.11

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.3%

Win Consistency17.6%

Profit Factor0.52

Drawdown Resilience0.42

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.42

Weekly Sharpe est.0.32

Trading Activity25 trades · 7 active days

P&L Calendar

$5,9750d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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