0x21490845CdecD599cb6555C4AAF3366ed95A8A59-1766360934626

0x214908...5a8a59

Smart Score

Win Rate

100.0%

Total P&L

+$223

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.38

Sortino Ratio

-1.21

Max Drawdown

2781.5%

ROI

3.8%

Profit Factor

10.00

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

013/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 5?	BUY	99.9¢	448.909	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.9¢	448.458	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 17?	BUY	99.9¢	448.008	Feb 17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 14?	BUY	99.9¢	447.567	Feb 14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 13?	BUY	99.9¢	447.117	Feb 13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 12?	BUY	99.9¢	446.667	Feb 12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 11?	BUY	99.8¢	446.222	Feb 11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 10?	BUY	99.9¢	445.335	Feb 10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 9?	BUY	99.4¢	444.889	Feb 9
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 8?	BUY	99.9¢	442.212	Feb 8
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	441.771	Feb 7
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	441.331	Jan 17
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	440.89	Jan 14
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	SELL	99.7¢	2.17	Jan 12
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	98.7¢	2.178	Dec 27
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?	BUY	99.9¢	9.519	Dec 24

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing13

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.72

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.8%

Win Consistency20.0%

Profit Factor0.34

Drawdown Resilience0.27

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.27

Weekly Sharpe est.0.21

Trading Activity16 trades · 16 active days

P&L Calendar

$5,7901d profit15d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue