0x21cfdb...3ffcfb

Smart Score

Win Rate

56.8%

Total P&L

-$35

Trade Count

105

Sharpe Ratio

-0.31

Sortino Ratio

-0.41

Max Drawdown

125.8%

ROI

-15.0%

Profit Factor

0.54

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

06.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $180-$185 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?	BUY	70.0¢	3.571	Mar 5
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	52.3¢	2.772	Mar 5
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?	BUY	37.0¢	6.757	Mar 5
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.5 and 42.9 on March 6, 2026?	BUY	41.0¢	6.098	Mar 5
Will PLC win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?	BUY	58.0¢	3.086	Mar 5
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?	BUY	51.0¢	4.627	Mar 3
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on March 6, 2026?	BUY	65.0¢	3.846	Mar 3
Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?	BUY	53.7¢	3.724	Mar 3
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	70.0¢	3.443	Mar 3
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on March 6, 2026?	BUY	63.0¢	2.587	Mar 3
Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	BUY	80.0¢	3.125	Mar 3
Will Meta (META) close above $650 on March 3?	BUY	39.0¢	5.538	Mar 2
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 0% and 5.00%?	BUY	78.0¢	3.205	Mar 2
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 10% and 15.00%?	BUY	83.0¢	3.012	Mar 2
Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000 voters?	BUY	73.0¢	3.425	Mar 1
Will Jasmine Crockett receive the most votes in the first round of the Democratic Senate primary in Texas?	BUY	36.0¢	5.722	Mar 1
Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	BUY	69.0¢	3.464	Feb 27
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	63.0¢	3.968	Feb 27
Will Daniel Crenshaw be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?	BUY	65.0¢	3.846	Feb 27
Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?	BUY	80.0¢	3.125	Feb 26

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing6.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.34

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)5.5%

Win Consistency54.7%

Profit Factor0.16

Drawdown Resilience0.13

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.13

Weekly Sharpe est.0.10

Trading Activity105 trades · 29 active days

P&L Calendar

$2360d profit29d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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