0x248fad...4b3ad3

Smart Score

Win Rate

19.2%

Total P&L

-$16

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.45

Sortino Ratio

50.09

Max Drawdown

3239.2%

ROI

-36.1%

Profit Factor

0.02

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

05.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	BUY	61.0¢	1.639	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	81.0¢	0.03	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	81.0¢	0.01	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	52.0¢	1.99	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	58.0¢	1.99	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	81.0¢	0.04	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	82.0¢	1.22	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	69.1¢	0.03	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	69.6¢	0.09	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	69.5¢	0.18	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	70.0¢	1.429	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	SELL	43.0¢	2.33	Mar 5
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	78.1¢	1.28	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	SELL	44.0¢	2.32	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	50.0¢	2	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	50.0¢	2	Mar 5
Will there be between 6 and 9 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?	BUY	70.0¢	1.429	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	43.0¢	2.326	Mar 5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	BUY	73.0¢	1.37	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	43.0¢	2.326	Mar 5

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing5.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.31

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)5.1%

Win Consistency34.6%

Profit Factor0.15

Drawdown Resilience0.12

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.12

Weekly Sharpe est.0.09

Trading Activity68 trades · 7 active days

P&L Calendar

$253d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue