0x293d7097462a089e11cEd9437C11B04D4cE62737-1728135987079

0x293d70...e62737@BingungD15167
Smart Score
29
Win Rate
92.6%
Total P&L
+$610
Trade Count
3,868
Sharpe Ratio
-3.04
Sortino Ratio
-2.73
Max Drawdown
2109.0%
ROI
0.2%
Profit Factor
6.65
Kelly Fraction
0.786
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
028.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?BUY99.4¢125.75Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL91.8¢127.68Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?SELL99.9¢250.5Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?SELL99.4¢125.76Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL99.9¢125.38Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?SELL99.4¢202.22Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL99.9¢250.5Mar 5
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY97.5¢128.21Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?SELL99.0¢126.39Mar 5
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL99.1¢163.48Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY97.4¢6.6Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY97.4¢0.37Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY97.4¢38.462Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY97.4¢82.898Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?SELL99.3¢126.01Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY99.7¢115.38Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY99.7¢10Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY97.5¢128.21Mar 5
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL99.1¢65.1Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL99.6¢126.14Mar 5
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing28.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.57
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.9%
Win Consistency45.2%
Profit Factor0.74
Drawdown Resilience0.60
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.60
Weekly Sharpe est.0.46
Trading Activity3,868 trades · 16 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$17,3861d profit15d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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