0x2Db7211fBD60A7CeFC804eaB39a250Db46828f9b-1772535030056

0x2db721...828f9b

Smart Score

Win Rate

27.3%

Total P&L

-$11

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.19

Sortino Ratio

-0.30

Max Drawdown

94.5%

ROI

-6.8%

Profit Factor

0.58

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

03.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?	BUY	49.0¢	10.204	Mar 5
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	13.5¢	7.19	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	SELL	23.3¢	22.14	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	BUY	31.9¢	15.674	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	BUY	30.9¢	6.472	Mar 4
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	13.9¢	7.194	Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	38.0¢	2.632	Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	41.0¢	4.878	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	SELL	4.0¢	118.77	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	BUY	5.7¢	17.544	Mar 4
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?	BUY	9.0¢	11.111	Mar 4
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	65.0¢	33.3	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	BUY	25.0¢	69.76	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	BUY	19.0¢	31.474	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	76.0¢	6.579	Mar 3
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?	SELL	73.0¢	1	Mar 3
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?	BUY	27.0¢	18.519	Mar 3
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	BUY	10.0¢	30.9	Mar 3
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	BUY	22.0¢	22.727	Mar 3
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	37.6¢	13.308	Mar 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing3.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.20

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)3.4%

Win Consistency45.5%

Profit Factor0.10

Drawdown Resilience0.08

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.08

Weekly Sharpe est.0.06

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue