0x38294f...f5dea6

Smart Score

Win Rate

48.0%

Total P&L

+$404

Trade Count

3,241

Sharpe Ratio

0.15

Sortino Ratio

6.63

Max Drawdown

114.1%

ROI

7.2%

Profit Factor

1.23

Kelly Fraction

0.090

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

026.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	SELL	82.0¢	0.22	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	SELL	83.0¢	0.12	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	BUY	79.0¢	2.82	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	SELL	77.0¢	0.47	Mar 4
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	89.9¢	10.19	Mar 4
Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.8¢	100	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	94.5¢	52.64	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	43.4¢	24.36	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	44.2¢	24.36	Mar 4
Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.8¢	100	Mar 4
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	3.9¢	68.25	Mar 4
Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?	BUY	94.0¢	1.54	Mar 4
Trump out as President before 2027?	SELL	83.0¢	0.14	Mar 3
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	1.0¢	3.36	Mar 2
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	1.0¢	5.05	Mar 2
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	1.0¢	6	Mar 2
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	1.0¢	6.18	Mar 2
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	SELL	73.0¢	0.88	Mar 2
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	SELL	34.0¢	12.33	Mar 2
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	1.0¢	55.57	Mar 2

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing26.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.44

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.8%

Win Consistency40.7%

Profit Factor0.68

Drawdown Resilience0.55

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55

Weekly Sharpe est.0.42

Trading Activity3,241 trades · 62 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,54222d profit40d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue