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0x3981D123f599D5f864378B6d388E94f6a5C33A62-1772297615018

0x3981d1...c33a62
Smart Score
54
Win Rate
22.9%
Total P&L
-$614
Trade Count
86
Sharpe Ratio
4.75
Sortino Ratio
248.27
Max Drawdown
53.5%
ROI
-9.1%
Profit Factor
0.75
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
054.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETBUY26.2¢1,006.964Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETBUY39.5¢10Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETBUY36.5¢82.203Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETSELL99.1¢9.61Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETBUY41.0¢9.756Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETBUY7.4¢268.534Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETBUY16.4¢122.178Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETBUY6.0¢66.667Mar 4
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.2¢28,690Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.1¢69,360Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.2¢19,000Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?SELL0.5¢1,714.28Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETBUY18.2¢492.565Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETSELL64.0¢141.95Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETBUY53.8¢144.178Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETBUY5.0¢202.012Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETBUY6.0¢50Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETBUY1.0¢500Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETBUY42.5¢235.294Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETBUY0.9¢555.555Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%31%< 10%7%10–20%4%20–30%40%30–50%13%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing54.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.99
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)49.4%
Win Consistency66.0%
Profit Factor1.41
Drawdown Resilience1.14
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.14
Weekly Sharpe est.0.87
Trading Activity86 trades · 4 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,3490d profit4d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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