0x3f790faA3b45D8877b086D30F9a2afc7e7D89A08-1770131334963

0x3f790f...d89a08

Smart Score

Win Rate

37.5%

Total P&L

-$11

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.04

Sortino Ratio

0.06

Max Drawdown

156.4%

ROI

-5.5%

Profit Factor

0.89

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

04.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 5?	BUY	53.1¢	12.618	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 5?	BUY	48.0¢	9.458	Mar 5
Hawks vs. Bucks	BUY	54.0¢	24.315	Mar 4
Hawks vs. Bucks	BUY	48.0¢	29.625	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	BUY	63.9¢	8.905	Mar 4
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	BUY	58.0¢	9.586	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	45.0¢	11.244	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 25?	BUY	35.0¢	5.229	Feb 23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 24?	BUY	39.0¢	6.231	Feb 23
Spurs vs. Pistons	BUY	47.0¢	14.085	Feb 23
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?	BUY	34.0¢	9.706	Feb 23
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?	BUY	49.0¢	25.408	Feb 22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 22?	BUY	50.0¢	18.82	Feb 22
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 22?	BUY	50.0¢	12.12	Feb 22
76ers vs. Pelicans	BUY	41.0¢	16.439	Feb 21
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 19?	BUY	36.0¢	10.75	Feb 19
Celtics vs. Warriors	BUY	34.0¢	8.941	Feb 19
Rockets vs. Hornets	BUY	42.0¢	9.333	Feb 18
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?	BUY	40.0¢	27.1	Feb 18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 18?	BUY	32.0¢	16.625	Feb 17

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing4.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.24

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)4.0%

Win Consistency33.3%

Profit Factor0.11

Drawdown Resilience0.09

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.09

Weekly Sharpe est.0.07

Trading Activity27 trades · 13 active days

P&L Calendar

$1990d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue