0x42a3e3...5cfef9

Smart Score

Win Rate

61.7%

Total P&L

-$159

Trade Count

459

Sharpe Ratio

-0.25

Sortino Ratio

-0.32

Max Drawdown

1470.4%

ROI

-4.3%

Profit Factor

0.71

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

05.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	95.9¢	6.236	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.8¢	3.78	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.9¢	2.48	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.9¢	2.52	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.8¢	2.48	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.7¢	1.26	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.7¢	3.74	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.7¢	1.26	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.7¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.8¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.8¢	3.74	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.8¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.7¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.8¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.8¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.8¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.8¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.8¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.8¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.7¢	5	Mar 5

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing5.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.29

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)4.8%

Win Consistency42.3%

Profit Factor0.14

Drawdown Resilience0.11

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.11

Weekly Sharpe est.0.08

Trading Activity459 trades · 34 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,24311d profit23d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue