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0x46EA5c417c32851639AEc47D593b97B284e97656-1768670708350

0x46ea5c...e97656
Smart Score
0
Win Rate
56.3%
Total P&L
-$136
Trade Count
20
Sharpe Ratio
-1.77
Sortino Ratio
-2.64
Max Drawdown
542.9%
ROI
-13.5%
Profit Factor
0.59
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
00.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETBUY72.0¢13.847Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETBUY78.0¢10.051Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETBUY43.0¢7.953Mar 5
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on March 3?SELL5.3¢64.68Mar 3
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on March 3?BUY80.0¢64.688Mar 3
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? BUY96.6¢51.751Feb 27
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 on February 13?BUY70.0¢32.071Feb 12
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?BUY50.0¢50Feb 12
ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28?BUY94.1¢53.153Feb 12
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?BUY40.9¢110.06Jan 30
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?BUY17.6¢223.333Jan 30
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?SELL99.9¢84.69Jan 30
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?BUY74.9¢84.691Jan 28
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 27, 2026?BUY61.0¢163.934Jan 27
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 26, 2026?BUY50.3¢95.442Jan 26
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 26, 2026?SELL48.5¢94.71Jan 26
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 26, 2026?BUY70.0¢94.714Jan 26
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 26, 2026?BUY61.4¢162.869Jan 26
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 22, 2026?BUY63.1¢154.81Jan 21
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 17, 2026?BUY88.2¢111.079Jan 17

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%6%10–20%20–30%12%30–50%41%50–70%18%70–80%12%80–90%12%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing0.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.01
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.2%
Win Consistency35.3%
Profit Factor0.01
Drawdown Resilience0.00
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00
Weekly Sharpe est.0.00
Trading Activity20 trades · 10 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$7441d profit9d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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