0x4C3EA2E8414e07449c2C355396d2bAaB7587403A-1767955999516

0x4c3ea2...87403a

Smart Score

Win Rate

45.3%

Total P&L

-$327

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.14

Sortino Ratio

255.80

Max Drawdown

719.3%

ROI

-4.7%

Profit Factor

0.79

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

028.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	BUY	33.5¢	29.853	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	BUY	14.0¢	35.714	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	BUY	43.9¢	22.761	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	BUY	24.8¢	80.741	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	BUY	10.0¢	100	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	BUY	44.0¢	45.49	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	BUY	8.0¢	62.5	Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?	SELL	12.2¢	533.88	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	BUY	17.5¢	114.504	Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	57.0¢	175.439	Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	66.1¢	75.612	Mar 3
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	62.0¢	161.29	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	48.0¢	172.41	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	BUY	43.0¢	11.628	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	BUY	48.0¢	11.36	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	58.0¢	172.414	Mar 3
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	22.0¢	765.65	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	BUY	15.7¢	31.795	Mar 3
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?	BUY	18.7¢	533.882	Mar 3
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	SELL	18.0¢	594.5	Mar 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing28.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.55

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.6%

Win Consistency59.3%

Profit Factor0.73

Drawdown Resilience0.59

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.59

Weekly Sharpe est.0.45

Trading Activity68 trades · 9 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,4950d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue