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0x4Eca14F104cCc6D0C38f627bdD195552Ec165364-1772076880594

0x4eca14...165364
Smart Score
16
Win Rate
46.5%
Total P&L
-$27
Trade Count
59
Sharpe Ratio
2.71
Sortino Ratio
2685.85
Max Drawdown
4372.7%
ROI
-15.9%
Profit Factor
0.32
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
016/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 5?BUY95.0¢5Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 5?SELL98.1¢5Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 5?BUY97.0¢5Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 5?BUY95.0¢5Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 5?SELL91.0¢5Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ETSELL99.9¢5Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ETBUY96.9¢5Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 5?BUY92.0¢5Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETBUY90.0¢5Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETBUY77.0¢5Mar 1
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETBUY71.0¢5Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETBUY50.0¢5Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETBUY82.0¢5Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETBUY66.0¢5Mar 1
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.1¢5Feb 28
XRP Up or Down - February 28, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.1¢5Feb 28
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.1¢5Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.1¢5Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ETBUY85.0¢5Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETBUY85.0¢5Feb 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%13%< 10%10–20%20–30%24%30–50%13%50–70%16%70–80%16%80–90%18%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing16

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.88
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)14.6%
Win Consistency41.9%
Profit Factor0.42
Drawdown Resilience0.34
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.34
Weekly Sharpe est.0.26
Trading Activity59 trades · 4 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$930d profit4d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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