0x4eEbd7D1C20a79942bC4dde4C482f0a2274cCf91-1768079143319

0x4eebd7...4ccf91

Smart Score

Win Rate

42.1%

Total P&L

+$114

Trade Count

150

Sharpe Ratio

-1.83

Sortino Ratio

-2.87

Max Drawdown

1186.3%

ROI

0.4%

Profit Factor

1.06

Kelly Fraction

0.022

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

01.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Kurds declare independence from Iran?	BUY	33.6¢	446.529	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	64.3¢	694.5	Mar 5
Kurds declare independence from Iran?	SELL	53.0¢	303.03	Mar 4
Kurds declare independence from Iran?	BUY	33.0¢	303.03	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	56.6¢	176.738	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	57.9¢	517.764	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	71.4¢	415.51	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	72.2¢	415.512	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	72.2¢	2,624.46	Mar 3
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?	SELL	35.0¢	411.54	Mar 3
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	0.6¢	1,155.06	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	83.7¢	835.907	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	83.8¢	596.659	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	83.9¢	1,191.895	Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	41.0¢	487.805	Mar 2
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	26.0¢	1,155.062	Mar 2
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	8.6¢	556.92	Mar 2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 5, 2026?	SELL	90.0¢	120.11	Mar 2
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	18.0¢	556.926	Mar 2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 5, 2026?	BUY	83.3¢	120.119	Mar 2

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing1.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.07

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)1.1%

Win Consistency31.6%

Profit Factor0.03

Drawdown Resilience0.03

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.03

Weekly Sharpe est.0.02

Trading Activity150 trades · 33 active days

P&L Calendar

$32811d profit21d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue