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0x5264b001677b47dd2E20fe20213749DbD7909a63-1770895753458

0x5264b0...909a63
Smart Score
22
Win Rate
20.2%
Total P&L
+$142
Trade Count
150
Sharpe Ratio
0.99
Sortino Ratio
5.73
Max Drawdown
481.5%
ROI
12.2%
Profit Factor
1.25
Kelly Fraction
0.040
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
021.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 5?BUY42.0¢7.143Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 5?BUY1.4¢142.79Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on March 6?BUY3.8¢78.95Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on March 5?BUY7.4¢13.6Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 5?BUY12.0¢33.265Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on March 6?BUY38.0¢39.474Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 5?BUY9.2¢32.7Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or higher on March 6?BUY10.0¢20Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on March 6?BUY36.0¢11.11Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C or below on March 6?BUY11.7¢42.735Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 82°F or higher on March 5?BUY15.5¢32.25Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?BUY21.7¢23.043Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 82°F or higher on March 5?BUY18.0¢16.667Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 52°F or higher on March 5?BUY1.4¢143.774Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or higher on March 6?BUY12.3¢40.715Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 5?BUY3.0¢101.135Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 6?BUY21.1¢47.349Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 6?BUY19.0¢26.316Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 5?BUY4.9¢204.798Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 80°F or higher on March 6?BUY47.0¢21.277Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%30%< 10%28%10–20%18%20–30%20%30–50%4%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing21.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.20
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.9%
Win Consistency38.6%
Profit Factor0.57
Drawdown Resilience0.46
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.46
Weekly Sharpe est.0.35
Trading Activity150 trades · 16 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,0191d profit15d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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