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0x55dEA190Df1391c15D6D1Bc27fE362Db011729c6-1766743880107

0x55dea1...1729c6
Smart Score
36
Win Rate
38.1%
Total P&L
+$73
Trade Count
35
Sharpe Ratio
0.72
Sortino Ratio
2.27
Max Drawdown
402.6%
ROI
19.1%
Profit Factor
4.06
Kelly Fraction
0.287
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
035.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?BUY28.0¢25Mar 5
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?SELL57.1¢141.17Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL78.0¢29.16Feb 28
US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?SELL70.1¢46.43Feb 28
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?BUY25.0¢32Feb 26
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY24.0¢29.167Feb 20
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY43.0¢20.909Feb 10
US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?BUY28.0¢46.435Feb 8
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak DjokovicBUY9.0¢55.556Feb 1
US government shutdown Saturday?SELL0.2¢12.82Jan 31
US government shutdown Saturday?BUY39.0¢12.821Jan 30
US government shutdown Saturday?SELL27.0¢29.16Jan 29
US government shutdown Saturday?BUY24.0¢29.167Jan 25
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?BUY17.0¢141.176Jan 21
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?BUY29.0¢17.241Jan 9
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?SELL50.5¢47.22Jan 9
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?SELL42.0¢20Jan 9
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL38.0¢37.03Jan 9
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?SELL48.6¢18.91Jan 9
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY36.0¢13.889Jan 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%13%< 10%4%10–20%48%20–30%30%30–50%50–70%70–80%4%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing35.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.97
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.6%
Win Consistency52.4%
Profit Factor0.93
Drawdown Resilience0.75
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.75
Weekly Sharpe est.0.57
Trading Activity35 trades · 19 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$474d profit15d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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