0x571aB6e6ddBdF089b2c175230465c55cCCDA58aE-1770969488007

0x571ab6...da58ae

Smart Score

Win Rate

72.4%

Total P&L

-$11

Trade Count

213

Sharpe Ratio

-1.26

Sortino Ratio

-1.09

Max Drawdown

1287.4%

ROI

-0.7%

Profit Factor

0.50

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

01.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	96.9¢	10.32	Mar 5
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	92.8¢	5.388	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	62.0¢	16.12	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	52.0¢	11.538	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	62.0¢	16.129	Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SELL	93.2¢	10.69	Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	83.8¢	7.15	Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY	93.5¢	10.695	Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	83.9¢	7.151	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	52.0¢	19.23	Mar 4
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)	BUY	95.0¢	6.316	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	62.0¢	14.75	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	61.0¢	14.754	Mar 4
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	SELL	95.3¢	9.49	Mar 4
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	BUY	94.8¢	9.494	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	97.6¢	8.19	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	79.0¢	7.69	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	78.0¢	7.692	Mar 4
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)	BUY	97.0¢	7.216	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	97.6¢	8.197	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing1.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.09

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)1.5%

Win Consistency40.3%

Profit Factor0.04

Drawdown Resilience0.03

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.03

Weekly Sharpe est.0.03

Trading Activity213 trades · 20 active days

P&L Calendar

$3111d profit19d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue