0x579525...b030fa

Smart Score

Win Rate

57.3%

Total P&L

+$8.8K

Trade Count

1,559

Sharpe Ratio

-0.53

Sortino Ratio

-1.31

Max Drawdown

1680.5%

ROI

68.4%

Profit Factor

5.71

Kelly Fraction

0.473

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

029.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	0.4¢	459.62	Mar 5
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	0.4¢	506.98	Mar 5
Will Ahmad Vahidi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.5¢	306	Mar 4
Will Ahmad Vahidi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.5¢	300	Mar 4
Will Ahmad Vahidi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.5¢	300	Mar 4
Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	0.2¢	1.56	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	26.0¢	76.923	Mar 4
Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	0.2¢	4.58	Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 6, 2026?	BUY	81.8¢	24.45	Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	BUY	88.0¢	22.727	Mar 4
Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	0.2¢	149.32	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	28.0¢	71.429	Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 6, 2026?	BUY	81.8¢	24.45	Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	BUY	88.0¢	22.727	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	27.0¢	74.074	Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	BUY	88.0¢	22.727	Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	BUY	88.0¢	22.727	Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 6, 2026?	BUY	81.8¢	24.45	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	14.0¢	142.857	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	12.0¢	31	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing29.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.61

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.7%

Win Consistency42.4%

Profit Factor0.76

Drawdown Resilience0.62

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.62

Weekly Sharpe est.0.47

Trading Activity1,559 trades · 52 active days

P&L Calendar

$5,7397d profit45d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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