0x57F1CD2872499b17056Bd80d41AcDB47007A1F79-1723082678608

0x57f1cd...7a1f79

Smart Score

Win Rate

40.0%

Total P&L

+$8

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.20

Sortino Ratio

-0.47

Max Drawdown

8612.6%

ROI

0.8%

Profit Factor

1.12

Kelly Fraction

0.043

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

02.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.4¢	514.085	Mar 5
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?	BUY	4.5¢	44.444	Jan 21
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?	BUY	5.1¢	79.036	Dec 25
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?	BUY	99.6¢	116.466	Nov 19
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?	BUY	30.0¢	16.667	Oct 12
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?	BUY	87.0¢	3.448	Sep 6
Will Grzegorz Braun be the next President of Poland?	BUY	99.8¢	134.269	May 15
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?	SELL	99.7¢	110.43	May 5
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in April?	BUY	99.9¢	21.021	Apr 24
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?	BUY	54.3¢	110.432	Feb 19
Will Elon tweet less than 400 times Jan 10-17?	BUY	67.8¢	73.765	Jan 13
Will Hamas allow IDF to remain in Gaza?	BUY	13.6¢	73.707	Dec 23
Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points?	BUY	15.0¢	76.667	Nov 4
Tesla sells bitcoin in October?	BUY	8.0¢	150	Oct 20
Who will gain more in polls after the debate?	BUY	8.1¢	129.98	Sep 16
Will the USA win Gold in Women's Basketball?	BUY	7.0¢	158.571	Aug 7

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing2.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.15

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)2.5%

Win Consistency53.3%

Profit Factor0.07

Drawdown Resilience0.06

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.06

Weekly Sharpe est.0.04

Trading Activity9 trades · 9 active days

P&L Calendar

$6861d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue