0x5c911d...4dd4ce

Smart Score

Win Rate

51.2%

Total P&L

-$322

Trade Count

286

Sharpe Ratio

0.18

Sortino Ratio

0.76

Max Drawdown

1912.0%

ROI

-2.7%

Profit Factor

0.79

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

011.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 5?	BUY	45.5¢	11	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on March 5?	BUY	14.0¢	14.286	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 5?	BUY	44.6¢	11.204	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 5?	BUY	31.3¢	95.761	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 5?	BUY	10.0¢	30	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 5?	SELL	99.0¢	33.7	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 5?	BUY	32.9¢	91.309	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 5?	BUY	9.2¢	32.6	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?	BUY	30.0¢	100.037	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 5?	SELL	67.5¢	35.29	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 4?	SELL	1.9¢	69.46	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 4?	SELL	8.0¢	148.94	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 4?	BUY	24.0¢	41.667	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 4?	BUY	14.4¢	69.467	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 4?	BUY	33.6¢	148.941	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C or higher on March 4?	SELL	99.1¢	29.5	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 3?	BUY	41.9¢	71.661	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 4?	BUY	45.0¢	22.222	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 4?	BUY	13.5¢	74.133	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 4?	BUY	2.6¢	38.916	Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing11.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.63

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.5%

Win Consistency39.6%

Profit Factor0.30

Drawdown Resilience0.24

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.24

Weekly Sharpe est.0.18

Trading Activity286 trades · 14 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,7423d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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