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0x5F78170BCe88a70Fcfa6E5af85d0cE8050827db4-1769612528793

0x5f7817...827db4
Smart Score
13
Win Rate
63.6%
Total P&L
+$11
Trade Count
325
Sharpe Ratio
-1.73
Sortino Ratio
-1.52
Max Drawdown
21631.4%
ROI
0.5%
Profit Factor
2.25
Kelly Fraction
0.354
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
012.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ETBUY98.0¢6.122Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ETSELL99.9¢5.1Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢19.23Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL94.5¢5.29Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY94.5¢5.291Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ETBUY98.0¢5.102Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.0¢7.29Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.0¢7.292Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ETBUY99.0¢9.091Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL97.5¢10.24Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY97.6¢10.246Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL91.5¢10.91Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY91.6¢10.917Mar 4
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.3¢10.36Mar 4
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.5¢10.363Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.8¢10.21Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.9¢10.214Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4AM ETBUY99.4¢7.042Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1AM ETBUY98.9¢8.089Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12AM ETBUY97.0¢6.186Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%4%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%11%50–70%10%70–80%10%80–90%63%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing12.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.71
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.7%
Win Consistency38.9%
Profit Factor0.34
Drawdown Resilience0.27
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.27
Weekly Sharpe est.0.21
Trading Activity325 trades · 31 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$4214d profit26d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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