0x609A667e4157f697a36eF6C631AE09Cf62a41502-1772028658210

0x609a66...a41502

Smart Score

Win Rate

76.4%

Total P&L

-$8

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-4.06

Sortino Ratio

-3.86

Max Drawdown

6620.9%

ROI

-2.1%

Profit Factor

0.53

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

03.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	82.8¢	5	Mar 4
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	BUY	91.0¢	5	Mar 4
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?	BUY	92.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	85.3¢	5	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 2-8?	SELL	81.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 2-8?	BUY	86.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	BUY	93.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 2-8?	BUY	93.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 6?	BUY	93.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 4, 2026?	BUY	92.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	91.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	90.3¢	5	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	89.7¢	5	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	88.9¢	5	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	88.8¢	5	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 4?	SELL	78.2¢	6.73	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Yemen in March?	BUY	95.1¢	6.31	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 4?	BUY	96.0¢	6.73	Mar 3
Will Iran strike Pakistan in March?	SELL	62.0¢	3.28	Mar 3
Will Iran strike Pakistan in March?	SELL	62.0¢	3.72	Mar 3

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing3.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.18

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)3.0%

Win Consistency50.0%

Profit Factor0.09

Drawdown Resilience0.07

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.07

Weekly Sharpe est.0.05

Trading Activity72 trades · 9 active days

P&L Calendar

$2691d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue