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0x63b472eba84171b5b3d15db1eb1ffc30049f9d1a

0x48a307...82f653@Supremor_
Smart Score
26
Win Rate
37.1%
Total P&L
-$55
Trade Count
459
Sharpe Ratio
0.44
Sortino Ratio
8.21
Max Drawdown
81.6%
ROI
-3.3%
Profit Factor
0.88
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
025.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY82.0¢1.22Mar 5
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-04?BUY9.9¢10.101Mar 4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?BUY64.0¢1.563Mar 1
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-01?BUY41.0¢2.439Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL0.2¢29.41Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY3.4¢29.412Feb 28
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?SELL99.0¢4.54Feb 28
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?SELL8.0¢5Feb 24
Will Coinbase be accused of insider trading?SELL3.7¢25Feb 24
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?SELL37.0¢2.08Feb 24
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?BUY48.0¢2.083Feb 24
Will Coinbase be accused of insider trading?BUY4.0¢25Feb 23
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?BUY20.0¢5Feb 23
Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?BUY17.0¢5.882Feb 23
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on February 20?BUY0.1¢50Feb 20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 20?BUY3.0¢20Feb 19
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?BUY22.0¢4.545Feb 18
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on February 20?BUY12.1¢8.264Feb 17
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 20?BUY10.0¢10Feb 16
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETBUY1.0¢10Feb 14

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%25%< 10%10%10–20%9%20–30%18%30–50%25%50–70%9%70–80%4%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing25.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.40
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.2%
Win Consistency41.2%
Profit Factor0.66
Drawdown Resilience0.54
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.54
Weekly Sharpe est.0.41
Trading Activity459 trades · 88 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$38323d profit64d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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