0x65026Fa015169F2A17fa3f6ebB95EdF69b667AF1-1762334646532

0x027298...f273d3

Smart Score

Win Rate

72.3%

Total P&L

+$792

Trade Count

750

Sharpe Ratio

0.17

Sortino Ratio

0.28

Max Drawdown

20347.7%

ROI

2.1%

Profit Factor

7.09

Kelly Fraction

0.621

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

033.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	98.7¢	15.18	Mar 5
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	98.8¢	15.182	Mar 5
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	98.6¢	19.25	Jan 24
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	98.7¢	19.25	Jan 24
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.2¢	17.11	Oct 9
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.3¢	17.12	Oct 9
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.2¢	17.11	Sep 16
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.3¢	17.12	Sep 16
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	98.7¢	18.2	Jul 31
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	98.9¢	18.2	Jul 31
Ipswich Town wins the Premier League?	SELL	99.4¢	112.41	Jan 1
Ipswich Town wins the Premier League?	BUY	99.6¢	112.41	Jan 1
Newcastle United wins the Premier League?	SELL	99.5¢	112.5	Dec 31
Newcastle United wins the Premier League?	BUY	99.6¢	112.5	Dec 31
Brighton & Hove Albion wins the Premier League?	SELL	99.3¢	112.79	Dec 31
Brighton & Hove Albion wins the Premier League?	BUY	99.5¢	112.794	Dec 31
Brighton & Hove Albion wins the Premier League?	SELL	99.3¢	112.98	Dec 31
Brighton & Hove Albion wins the Premier League?	BUY	99.5¢	112.975	Dec 31
Bournemouth wins the Premier League?	SELL	99.4¢	113.07	Dec 31
Bournemouth wins the Premier League?	BUY	99.5¢	113.065	Dec 31

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing33.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.86

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)30.8%

Win Consistency43.6%

Profit Factor0.88

Drawdown Resilience0.71

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.71

Weekly Sharpe est.0.54

Trading Activity10 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

$00d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue