0x6725890d63ece2299B595C8394cC3b3Bac1ce08F-1768928306270

0x672589...1ce08f

Smart Score

Win Rate

7.1%

Total P&L

-$221

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.17

Sortino Ratio

23.96

Max Drawdown

49.5%

ROI

-34.0%

Profit Factor

0.08

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

029.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during remarks on January 28?	BUY	11.0¢	61.909	Jan 28
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?	BUY	11.4¢	87.807	Jan 27
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?	SELL	64.2¢	30.61	Jan 27
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?	SELL	33.2¢	46.85	Jan 27
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?	SELL	2.0¢	31.25	Jan 27
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?	BUY	63.8¢	30.611	Jan 27
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?	SELL	58.7¢	33.3	Jan 27
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?	BUY	55.4¢	33.297	Jan 27
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?	BUY	6.4¢	31.25	Jan 27
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?	BUY	47.0¢	46.851	Jan 27
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?	SELL	38.8¢	70.42	Jan 27
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?	SELL	54.1¢	27.95	Jan 27
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?	BUY	33.7¢	27.953	Jan 27
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?	SELL	1.5¢	608.38	Jan 27
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?	BUY	8.6¢	191.69	Jan 27
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?	SELL	23.5¢	70.42	Jan 27
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?	BUY	14.2¢	70.423	Jan 26
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?	BUY	1.8¢	487.12	Jan 26
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?	BUY	0.1¢	11,230	Jan 23
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?	BUY	0.1¢	75,070	Jan 23

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing29.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.61

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.6%

Win Consistency71.4%

Profit Factor0.76

Drawdown Resilience0.61

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.61

Weekly Sharpe est.0.47

Trading Activity36 trades · 7 active days

P&L Calendar

$2212d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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