0x6b2664Ced83A571a7e92E03155b5E3881E0ccf9a-1735716016628

0x6b2664...0ccf9a
Smart Score
29
Win Rate
46.3%
Total P&L
+$2.0K
Trade Count
1,659
Sharpe Ratio
0.39
Sortino Ratio
4.79
Max Drawdown
638.2%
ROI
1.2%
Profit Factor
1.93
Kelly Fraction
0.223
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
029.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Solana Up or Down - March 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETBUY99.8¢6.012Mar 5
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?BUY45.0¢20Mar 4
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?SELL44.2¢9Mar 4
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETBUY78.5¢10.19Mar 4
XRP Up or Down - March 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETBUY98.0¢5.101Mar 4
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?BUY74.0¢20Mar 4
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?BUY75.0¢20Mar 4
Trump approval Up or Down this week?BUY42.0¢20Mar 4
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?BUY53.0¢9.36Mar 4
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY84.0¢20Mar 4
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?BUY7.0¢20Mar 4
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $300-$305 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?SELL22.0¢4Mar 4
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $300-$305 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?BUY78.0¢20Mar 4
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?SELL36.0¢7Mar 4
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?BUY81.0¢20Mar 4
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?BUY43.0¢12.98Mar 4
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY80.0¢27.77Mar 4
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY15.0¢1.76Mar 4
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY15.0¢18.24Mar 4
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY17.0¢20Mar 4
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%11%< 10%12%10–20%9%20–30%20%30–50%13%50–70%7%70–80%10%80–90%17%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing29.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.61
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.6%
Win Consistency45.5%
Profit Factor0.76
Drawdown Resilience0.61
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.61
Weekly Sharpe est.0.47
Trading Activity1,659 trades · 53 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6,71521d profit32d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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