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0x6B540Ab57be76e46530A694023B0B998bdE18b47-1770799196406

0x6b540a...e18b47
Smart Score
7
Win Rate
96.2%
Total P&L
-$27
Trade Count
1,869
Sharpe Ratio
-0.44
Sortino Ratio
-23.35
Max Drawdown
149482.6%
ROI
-0.1%
Profit Factor
0.95
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
06.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,600 by end of March?BUY97.4¢40Mar 5
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $160?BUY99.3¢14.38Mar 5
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of March 2 above $235?BUY98.7¢5.34Mar 5
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of March 2 above $230?SELL98.8¢5.06Mar 5
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?SELL7.1¢20.98Mar 5
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?SELL7.4¢15Mar 5
Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?SELL98.8¢5.061Mar 5
Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?SELL98.8¢10.9Mar 5
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?SELL8.4¢15Mar 5
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?SELL68.0¢39.99Mar 5
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of March 2 above $180?SELL99.6¢15.84Mar 4
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of March 2 above $180?SELL99.6¢85.151Mar 4
Will Meta (META) finish week of March 2 above $600?BUY99.5¢41.48Mar 4
Will Meta (META) finish week of March 2 above $600?BUY99.4¢8.21Mar 4
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 2 above $275?BUY98.8¢30Mar 4
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?SELL87.0¢14.99Mar 4
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?SELL5.3¢23.5Mar 4
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?SELL5.4¢6.5Mar 4
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?SELL99.9¢70Mar 4
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 2 above $70?BUY99.3¢18.07Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%97%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing6.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.37
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)6.2%
Win Consistency3.7%
Profit Factor0.18
Drawdown Resilience0.14
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.14
Weekly Sharpe est.0.11
Trading Activity1,869 trades · 19 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$23,9572d profit17d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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