0x6EF114F1c6451221f50280658cAF2825Bf064Ee5-1769265500156

0x6ef114...064ee5
Smart Score
45
Win Rate
45.7%
Total P&L
+$1.3K
Trade Count
521
Sharpe Ratio
0.36
Sortino Ratio
35.34
Max Drawdown
228.1%
ROI
57.8%
Profit Factor
7.91
Kelly Fraction
0.400
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
044.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY36.4¢25.027Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY35.4¢28.258Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL35.9¢41.32Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL8.5¢23.94Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY24.2¢41.322Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY41.8¢23.942Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETBUY26.0¢3.846Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETBUY63.0¢1.587Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?SELL89.0¢15.92Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?SELL10.0¢10Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?BUY30.0¢10Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?BUY88.0¢12.08Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?BUY62.8¢15.925Feb 27
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETSELL65.0¢9.11Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETBUY54.0¢9.259Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETSELL54.0¢1.47Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETBUY40.0¢2.5Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETBUY67.0¢1.493Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETBUY19.0¢5.263Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETBUY92.0¢1.087Feb 25
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%9%< 10%7%10–20%11%20–30%23%30–50%37%50–70%6%70–80%5%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing44.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.47
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)40.9%
Win Consistency49.4%
Profit Factor1.17
Drawdown Resilience0.94
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.94
Weekly Sharpe est.0.72
Trading Activity521 trades · 13 active days
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P&L Calendar
$1951d profit12d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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