Accrue
Log inGet Access

0x6f203730867FaAae20AD5a2376db4798bD076A22-1766901457242

0x6f2037...076a22
Smart Score
27
Win Rate
31.4%
Total P&L
-$23
Trade Count
93
Sharpe Ratio
1.39
Sortino Ratio
5.43
Max Drawdown
678.4%
ROI
-1.3%
Profit Factor
0.94
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
026.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?BUY23.0¢43.478Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?SELL15.0¢63.43Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?BUY29.0¢34.483Mar 5
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7?SELL8.7¢137.98Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?BUY35.0¢28.571Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?SELL31.0¢33.08Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?BUY35.0¢63.457Mar 5
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?SELL26.0¢48.38Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?SELL23.0¢41.87Mar 5
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?BUY63.5¢80.376Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?SELL1.0¢361.42Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?SELL32.8¢38Mar 4
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7?BUY16.7¢89.595Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?BUY15.8¢63.438Mar 4
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?BUY33.0¢45.455Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?BUY23.9¢41.875Mar 4
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?BUY31.0¢48.387Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?BUY34.2¢38Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?BUY1.4¢361.429Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY8.9¢84.607Mar 4

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%32%< 10%16%10–20%7%20–30%29%30–50%13%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing26.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.47
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.3%
Win Consistency52.8%
Profit Factor0.69
Drawdown Resilience0.56
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.56
Weekly Sharpe est.0.43
Trading Activity93 trades · 8 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$5332d profit6d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics