0x70dEb9f8FE0D413497c5F3c68d73f24ba564ACD0-1762335903075

0x9c7b49...b25d3a

Smart Score

Win Rate

81.1%

Total P&L

+$479

Trade Count

758

Sharpe Ratio

0.35

Sortino Ratio

7.08

Max Drawdown

168.2%

ROI

1.4%

Profit Factor

5.57

Kelly Fraction

0.665

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

044.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.1¢	14.11	Mar 5
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.2¢	14.113	Mar 5
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	98.8¢	20.23	Jan 24
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	98.9¢	20.222	Jan 24
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	98.7¢	18.21	Oct 9
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	98.8¢	18.219	Oct 9
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.4¢	14.07	Sep 17
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.5¢	14.07	Sep 17
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.0¢	10.09	Jul 31
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.1¢	10.091	Jul 31
Leicester City wins the Premier League?	SELL	99.5¢	79.13	Jan 1
Leicester City wins the Premier League?	BUY	99.6¢	79.127	Jan 1
Aston Villa wins the Premier League?	SELL	99.3¢	79.33	Dec 31
Aston Villa wins the Premier League?	BUY	99.5¢	79.327	Dec 31
Manchester United wins the Premier League?	SELL	99.2¢	79.54	Dec 31
Manchester United wins the Premier League?	BUY	99.3¢	79.537	Dec 31
Leicester City wins the Premier League?	SELL	99.5¢	4.34	Dec 31
Brentford wins the Premier League?	SELL	99.6¢	79.29	Dec 31
Leicester City wins the Premier League?	BUY	99.6¢	4.337	Dec 31
Brentford wins the Premier League?	BUY	99.7¢	79.298	Dec 31

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing44.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.44

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)40.4%

Win Consistency54.8%

Profit Factor1.15

Drawdown Resilience0.93

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.93

Weekly Sharpe est.0.71

Trading Activity10 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

$00d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue