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0x714ef9...122d11

0x714ef9...122d11
Smart Score
56
Win Rate
50.0%
Total P&L
+$83
Trade Count
19
Sharpe Ratio
3.40
Sortino Ratio
49.59
Max Drawdown
139.0%
ROI
50.4%
Profit Factor
8.48
Kelly Fraction
0.441
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
056.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (March 8)SELL63.0¢11.9Mar 5
Will "Macbook" be said 10+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?SELL82.4¢13.64Mar 5
Will "Apple TV" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?SELL86.7¢9.09Mar 5
Will "M5" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?SELL75.7¢103.05Mar 5
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?BUY6.6¢90.759Mar 2
Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?SELL3.0¢15.36Mar 2
Will "M5" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?BUY3.9¢103.054Mar 2
Will "Macbook" be said 10+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?BUY14.7¢13.644Mar 2
Will "Apple TV" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?BUY22.0¢9.091Mar 2
Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?BUY6.5¢15.361Mar 2
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (March 8)BUY42.0¢11.905Mar 2
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?BUY6.4¢46.664Mar 2
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY53.0¢20.755Mar 2
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?SELL99.9¢7.58Mar 2
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL19.0¢16.66Mar 2
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY24.0¢16.667Feb 5
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY57.0¢5.263Feb 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?BUY40.0¢15.016Feb 5
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY86.0¢2.326Feb 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%33%< 10%8%10–20%17%20–30%17%30–50%17%50–70%70–80%8%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active56.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.10
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)51.2%
Win Consistency60.0%
Profit Factor1.46
Drawdown Resilience1.18
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.18
Weekly Sharpe est.0.90
Trading Activity19 trades · 4 active days
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P&L Calendar
+$671d profit3d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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