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0x72bda627ff10c

0x955785...d37136
Smart Score
52
Win Rate
100.0%
Total P&L
-$552
Trade Count
994
Sharpe Ratio
4.30
Sortino Ratio
0.00
Max Drawdown
0.0%
ROI
-1.1%
Profit Factor
0.00
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
051.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY38.0¢301.21Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY38.0¢714Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY38.0¢714Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY15.2¢3,125Mar 5
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?BUY1.4¢40Mar 5
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?BUY1.4¢90Mar 5
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?BUY1.4¢30Mar 5
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?BUY1.4¢40Mar 5
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?BUY1.4¢85.974Mar 5
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?BUY1.4¢118.742Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY16.0¢292Mar 5
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?BUY5.2¢159.34Mar 5
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?BUY1.4¢206.11Mar 5
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?BUY1.4¢74.99Mar 4
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?BUY1.4¢75.882Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY2.1¢1,200Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY3.7¢3,202.6Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY3.7¢8,760.97Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY3.7¢8,962.99Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY3.7¢2,419.56Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%47%< 10%21%10–20%20–30%22%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%10%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing51.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.84
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)47.0%
Win Consistency100.0%
Profit Factor1.34
Drawdown Resilience1.09
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.09
Weekly Sharpe est.0.83
Trading Activity994 trades · 7 active days
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P&L Calendar
$2,0555d profit2d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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