0x72f721...ad4345

Smart Score

Win Rate

66.7%

Total P&L

+$141

Trade Count

218

Sharpe Ratio

1.25

Sortino Ratio

2.19

Max Drawdown

220.5%

ROI

6.2%

Profit Factor

3.33

Kelly Fraction

0.467

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

036.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?	SELL	85.0¢	0.74	Mar 5
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	87.6¢	22.3	Mar 5
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	78.1¢	21.793	Mar 5
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?	SELL	81.0¢	7	Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	40.0¢	53.03	Mar 4
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?	SELL	81.0¢	0.2	Mar 4
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?	SELL	81.0¢	0.01	Mar 4
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?	SELL	81.0¢	0.2	Mar 4
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?	SELL	81.0¢	0.11	Mar 4
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?	SELL	81.0¢	0.17	Mar 4
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?	SELL	81.0¢	0.83	Mar 4
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	82.9¢	22.304	Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	41.0¢	83.951	Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	39.0¢	11.308	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	SELL	98.5¢	64.01	Mar 4
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	92.5¢	9.44	Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	76.3¢	83.009	Mar 4
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	92.5¢	9.22	Mar 4
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	87.0¢	32.38	Mar 4
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	85.5¢	9.03	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing36.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.02

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)33.4%

Win Consistency60.6%

Profit Factor0.95

Drawdown Resilience0.77

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.77

Weekly Sharpe est.0.59

Trading Activity218 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$9191d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue