0x7326ff...22f5d3

Smart Score

Win Rate

75.0%

Total P&L

+$8

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.05

Sortino Ratio

0.05

Max Drawdown

229.6%

ROI

5.9%

Profit Factor

1.73

Kelly Fraction

0.317

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

020.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?	SELL	65.0¢	3.27	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	85.0¢	2.353	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?	BUY	61.0¢	3.279	Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	71.0¢	7.042	Mar 4
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?	SELL	78.0¢	3.75	Mar 4
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	79.0¢	6.329	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	SELL	34.0¢	2.85	Mar 3
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?	BUY	80.0¢	3.75	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	62.0¢	4.839	Mar 3
Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?	BUY	87.2¢	2.294	Mar 3
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	SELL	9.0¢	9.24	Mar 3
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	BUY	72.7¢	2.751	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	87.0¢	3.448	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	72.0¢	4.167	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	70.0¢	2.857	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	88.0¢	4.545	Mar 2
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th?	BUY	80.0¢	3.75	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	86.7¢	3.46	Mar 2
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?	BUY	89.0¢	4.494	Mar 1
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?	BUY	84.0¢	2.381	Mar 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing20.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.13

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.8%

Win Consistency59.4%

Profit Factor0.54

Drawdown Resilience0.43

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.43

Weekly Sharpe est.0.33

Trading Activity42 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$921d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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