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0x74f533F305eC441ae0f3ca1b5Ff4DAf1CeFF0F06-1769611818916

0x74f533...ff0f06
Smart Score
19
Win Rate
32.6%
Total P&L
+$16
Trade Count
315
Sharpe Ratio
-0.26
Sortino Ratio
-0.23
Max Drawdown
212.9%
ROI
0.7%
Profit Factor
5.33
Kelly Fraction
0.265
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
019.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY82.0¢8.537Mar 4
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL98.6¢6.07Mar 4
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.7¢6.079Mar 4
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL98.2¢6.1Mar 4
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY98.3¢6.104Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL78.7¢8.87Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY78.9¢8.872Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.7¢6.12Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.9¢6.129Mar 4
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL98.6¢5.06Mar 4
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.7¢5.066Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5PM ETBUY99.8¢7.014Mar 4
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL99.1¢8.08Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.7¢6.19Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY96.8¢6.198Mar 4
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL99.6¢7.03Mar 4
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY99.1¢8.076Mar 4
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY99.7¢7.021Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY97.0¢7.216Mar 4
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL99.6¢6.01Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%8%50–70%5%70–80%4%80–90%79%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing19.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.07
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.6%
Win Consistency49.0%
Profit Factor0.50
Drawdown Resilience0.41
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.41
Weekly Sharpe est.0.31
Trading Activity315 trades · 32 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1669d profit23d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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