0x781c60...c0f4d9

Smart Score

Win Rate

44.4%

Total P&L

-$5

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-6.22

Sortino Ratio

-7.59

Max Drawdown

1281.4%

ROI

-2.9%

Profit Factor

0.75

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

01/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 5?	BUY	19.9¢	5.025	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 5?	BUY	25.0¢	24	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 5?	SELL	17.0¢	210.34	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 5?	BUY	8.3¢	89.703	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 5?	BUY	6.2¢	120.645	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?	BUY	34.0¢	20.382	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 5?	BUY	98.6¢	10.142	Mar 4
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on March 4?	BUY	67.0¢	14.925	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 4?	SELL	95.0¢	19.05	Mar 4
Will the price of Solana be above $40 on March 4?	BUY	0.1¢	1,010	Mar 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?	BUY	0.4¢	2,500.594	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 4?	BUY	51.1¢	19.058	Mar 3
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	94.0¢	10.638	Mar 2
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	91.0¢	21.978	Feb 25
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	86.0¢	11.628	Feb 24
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	85.0¢	4.706	Feb 24
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	80.0¢	6.25	Feb 23

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.06

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.9%

Win Consistency44.4%

Profit Factor0.03

Drawdown Resilience0.02

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.02

Weekly Sharpe est.0.02

Trading Activity17 trades · 7 active days

P&L Calendar

$651d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue