0x78e523c607E391477f0E20EB819094A12cB22D4D-1758851783530

0x78e523...b22d4d@xuanererz

Smart Score

Win Rate

79.2%

Total P&L

-$1.9K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.57

Sortino Ratio

-0.48

Max Drawdown

408.6%

ROI

-15.7%

Profit Factor

0.20

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	SELL	99.1¢	500	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	SELL	92.1¢	500	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	SELL	43.2¢	200	Mar 5
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	SELL	7.2¢	1,775.43	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	SELL	99.3¢	735.22	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	84.0¢	884.857	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	85.0¢	352.941	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	BUY	94.4¢	211.864	Feb 27
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	BUY	96.8¢	400	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	93.0¢	537.634	Feb 26
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	BUY	95.1¢	315.457	Feb 26
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	87.0¢	85.26	Feb 26
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	87.0¢	48.76	Feb 26
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	87.0¢	45.98	Feb 26
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	87.0¢	20	Feb 26
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	BUY	96.2¢	207.9	Feb 25
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	BUY	98.3¢	200	Feb 25
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	BUY	96.2¢	88.97	Feb 25
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	BUY	96.2¢	10.75	Feb 25
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	BUY	96.2¢	0.28	Feb 25

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency64.0%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity46 trades · 24 active days

P&L Calendar

$5,0586d profit18d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue