0x7aa924...cbc743

Smart Score

Win Rate

69.1%

Total P&L

+$843

Trade Count

4,000

Sharpe Ratio

-0.54

Sortino Ratio

-1.49

Max Drawdown

45325.3%

ROI

17.6%

Profit Factor

1.53

Kelly Fraction

0.239

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

011.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or below on March 6?	BUY	98.3¢	1.18	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or below on March 6?	BUY	98.3¢	2.146	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?	BUY	99.9¢	3.233	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?	BUY	99.9¢	3.233	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?	BUY	99.9¢	3.233	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?	BUY	99.9¢	3.233	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?	BUY	99.9¢	3.343	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?	BUY	99.9¢	3.343	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?	BUY	99.8¢	3.717	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?	BUY	99.8¢	3.717	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?	BUY	99.8¢	3.858	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?	BUY	99.7¢	1.404	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?	BUY	99.7¢	3.671	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?	BUY	99.7¢	1.685	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?	BUY	56.7¢	2.399	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?	BUY	51.9¢	16.146	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on March 5?	BUY	97.0¢	7.268	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 4?	BUY	99.3¢	2.356	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on March 5?	BUY	99.7¢	2.969	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on March 5?	BUY	97.3¢	4.296	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing11.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.61

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.1%

Win Consistency34.4%

Profit Factor0.29

Drawdown Resilience0.23

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.23

Weekly Sharpe est.0.18

Trading Activity4,000 trades · 7 active days

P&L Calendar

$4,0840d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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