0x7b5f02...9d6249

Smart Score

Win Rate

77.3%

Total P&L

-$26

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.91

Sortino Ratio

-0.59

Max Drawdown

672.7%

ROI

-5.3%

Profit Factor

0.21

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	0.1¢	1,300	Mar 5
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	0.2¢	1,300	Mar 4
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	99.8¢	13.4	Mar 4
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	98.5¢	5.2	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	12.2	Mar 4
Will Bubba Watson win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	99.7¢	8.51	Mar 4
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	BUY	98.7¢	10.659	Feb 3
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?	BUY	97.5¢	28.709	Feb 3
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	92.0¢	13.043	Feb 3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?	BUY	95.7¢	22.988	Feb 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	94.0¢	17.021	Feb 3
U.S. strike on Nigeria by January 31, 2026?	SELL	97.2¢	7.87	Jan 29
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 28, 2026?	BUY	99.4¢	12.455	Jan 27
U.S. strike on Nigeria by January 31, 2026?	SELL	97.2¢	12.739	Jan 26
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	99.9¢	27.017	Jan 26
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	BUY	86.0¢	8.43	Jan 26
Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	99.6¢	22.149	Jan 22
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?	BUY	97.5¢	16.831	Jan 18
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?	BUY	91.0¢	12.088	Jan 18
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?	BUY	99.7¢	22.066	Jan 18

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency69.6%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity28 trades · 10 active days

P&L Calendar

$3323d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue