0x7F51fE892219F137305B68f29D3189ec26EcD389-1771774690667

0x7f51fe...ecd389
Smart Score
3
Win Rate
52.8%
Total P&L
-$40
Trade Count
130
Sharpe Ratio
0.73
Sortino Ratio
4.11
Max Drawdown
5371.4%
ROI
-15.0%
Profit Factor
0.34
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
02.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 2 - March 8 be between 15,500,000 and 16,000,000?BUY13.5¢7.407Mar 5
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 2 - March 8 be between 15,500,000 and 16,000,000?BUY13.5¢7.397Mar 5
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 2 - March 8 be less than 15,500,000?BUY6.5¢15.368Mar 5
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY26.0¢8Mar 4
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY60.0¢5Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY56.5¢14.991Mar 4
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?SELL1.0¢17Mar 4
China x Japan military clash before 2027?BUY85.0¢1.353Mar 4
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY31.0¢10Mar 4
Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY31.0¢7Mar 4
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tech signing event on Wednesday?BUY82.3¢45.005Mar 4
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?BUY31.1¢20.048Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY55.9¢5.993Mar 4
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?SELL56.2¢21.76Mar 4
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY86.8¢1.152Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY56.0¢15Mar 4
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?SELL56.5¢12.24Mar 4
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?SELL5.0¢105.71Mar 4
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?SELL11.0¢12.5Mar 4
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?BUY55.0¢12Mar 3
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%9%< 10%9%10–20%6%20–30%12%30–50%13%50–70%6%70–80%24%80–90%21%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing2.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.15
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)2.5%
Win Consistency52.0%
Profit Factor0.07
Drawdown Resilience0.06
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.06
Weekly Sharpe est.0.04
Trading Activity130 trades · 12 active days
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P&L Calendar
$1321d profit10d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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