0x7faa3BA9879Ed2e62101eEe90D61Ea633662994E-1768575008708

0x7faa3b...62994e

Smart Score

Win Rate

57.6%

Total P&L

+$126

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.75

Sortino Ratio

-0.89

Max Drawdown

1036.4%

ROI

4.4%

Profit Factor

2.14

Kelly Fraction

0.307

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

015.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	BUY	31.0¢	15	Mar 5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	87.0¢	50	Mar 5
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	67.0¢	13.85	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	85.0¢	93.33	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	85.0¢	6.667	Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	SELL	85.0¢	150	Feb 23
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	SELL	60.0¢	29.61	Feb 18
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	BUY	28.0¢	47.22	Feb 16
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	BUY	28.0¢	2.778	Feb 16
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	SELL	20.0¢	50	Feb 13
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	79.0¢	100	Feb 11
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	SELL	40.0¢	25	Feb 6
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	BUY	26.0¢	10	Feb 6
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	BUY	86.0¢	100	Feb 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	89.0¢	10.89	Feb 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	89.0¢	8.69	Feb 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	89.0¢	9.78	Feb 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	89.0¢	9.78	Feb 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	89.0¢	5.43	Feb 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	89.0¢	5.43	Feb 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing15.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.85

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)14.1%

Win Consistency54.3%

Profit Factor0.40

Drawdown Resilience0.33

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.33

Weekly Sharpe est.0.25

Trading Activity76 trades · 21 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,1988d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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