0x82311Db1134e2Ac2912fCA58c68800627Da7CBC0-1767862899753

0x82311d...a7cbc0

Smart Score

Win Rate

30.9%

Total P&L

-$226

Trade Count

499

Sharpe Ratio

-0.62

Sortino Ratio

-1.56

Max Drawdown

1069.9%

ROI

-5.7%

Profit Factor

0.55

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

03.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	SELL	15.0¢	37.69	Mar 5
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	1.9¢	52.632	Mar 4
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	4.0¢	125.998	Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	11.0¢	45.554	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	69.0¢	37.696	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	BUY	75.8¢	169.66	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?	SELL	15.1¢	371.99	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	58.0¢	42.29	Mar 3
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	38.0¢	146.24	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?	BUY	45.7¢	371.997	Mar 3
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	28.0¢	17.857	Mar 3
Will Trump say "President Xi" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	BUY	90.0¢	5.556	Mar 3
Will Trump say "Drone" during meetings with Chancellor Merz?	BUY	56.6¢	26.491	Mar 3
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	31.0¢	48.387	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	64.0¢	15.625	Mar 3
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	38.4¢	13.034	Mar 3
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	39.0¢	12.821	Mar 3
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	40.0¢	12.5	Mar 3
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	43.0¢	11.628	Mar 3
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	43.5¢	11.503	Mar 3

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing3.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.19

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)3.2%

Win Consistency31.5%

Profit Factor0.09

Drawdown Resilience0.07

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.07

Weekly Sharpe est.0.06

Trading Activity499 trades · 47 active days

P&L Calendar

$44320d profit27d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue