0x845d82...3fafea

Smart Score

Win Rate

47.6%

Total P&L

-$5

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

3.11

Sortino Ratio

41.41

Max Drawdown

75.3%

ROI

-9.4%

Profit Factor

0.40

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

036.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	BUY	6.0¢	16.667	Mar 5
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?	BUY	6.0¢	16.667	Mar 5
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?	BUY	27.0¢	3.704	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	SELL	12.0¢	5.26	Mar 4
QatarEnergy resumes LNG production by March 14?	SELL	75.0¢	1.69	Mar 4
Kurds declare independence from Iran?	SELL	38.0¢	3.33	Mar 4
QatarEnergy resumes LNG production by March 14?	BUY	59.0¢	1.695	Mar 4
Kurds declare independence from Iran?	BUY	30.0¢	3.333	Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	BUY	1.5¢	66.667	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	19.0¢	5.263	Mar 4
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	SELL	81.0¢	1.23	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	18.0¢	11.11	Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	9.0¢	11.111	Mar 3
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BUY	81.0¢	1.235	Mar 3
Ethereum Up or Down on March 2?	BUY	5.0¢	20	Mar 2
Solana Up or Down on March 2?	BUY	3.0¢	33.333	Mar 2
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs SemperFi Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1	BUY	0.8¢	117.77	Mar 2
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?	SELL	1.2¢	50	Mar 2
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on March 31?	SELL	2.5¢	47.61	Mar 2
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?	SELL	35.0¢	2.7	Mar 1

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing36.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.01

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)33.3%

Win Consistency45.8%

Profit Factor0.95

Drawdown Resilience0.77

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.77

Weekly Sharpe est.0.59

Trading Activity41 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

$81d profit3d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue