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0x84a8a4...c88daa

0x84a8a4...c88daa
Smart Score
39
Win Rate
63.2%
Total P&L
+$51
Trade Count
55
Sharpe Ratio
0.70
Sortino Ratio
2.71
Max Drawdown
200.0%
ROI
6.5%
Profit Factor
4.57
Kelly Fraction
0.493
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
039/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
threadguy mindshare all time high by March 31?BUY84.0¢8Mar 5
threadguy mindshare all time high by March 31?BUY84.0¢8Mar 5
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?BUY62.0¢16Feb 28
Will Illinois win the 2025-2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball regular season championship?BUY68.8¢9Feb 5
Will Illinois win the 2025-2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball regular season championship?BUY68.8¢11Feb 5
Will Illinois win the 2025-2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball regular season championship?BUY68.8¢11Feb 5
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?BUY62.0¢6Jan 29
Will Let God Sort Em Out (Clipse Pusha T Malice) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?BUY75.0¢12Jan 22
Will Let God Sort Em Out (Clipse Pusha T Malice) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?BUY75.0¢12Jan 22
Will Let God Sort Em Out (Clipse Pusha T Malice) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?BUY75.0¢12Jan 22
Will Chloé Zhao be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY69.0¢4Jan 9
Will Marseille advance to the round of 16?BUY68.0¢7Dec 20
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?BUY68.0¢13Dec 14
Will Roaring Kitty tweet again by December 31?BUY78.0¢12Dec 9
Will Roaring Kitty tweet again by December 31?BUY78.0¢13Dec 9
Will Trump Media buy more Bitcoin in 2025?BUY65.0¢7Dec 8
Will Napoli advance to the round of 16?BUY18.0¢6Dec 8
Will Napoli advance to the round of 16?BUY18.0¢7Dec 8
Will Napoli advance to the round of 16?BUY18.0¢8Dec 8
Will Napoli advance to the round of 16?BUY18.0¢8Dec 8

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%16%< 10%16%10–20%20–30%30–50%24%50–70%14%70–80%5%80–90%24%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing39

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.15
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)35.5%
Win Consistency54.2%
Profit Factor1.01
Drawdown Resilience0.82
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.82
Weekly Sharpe est.0.62
Trading Activity55 trades · 28 active days
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1248d profit18d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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