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0x8580A3B2Eed9da840b1cb4F2A4fc11F71a4e7BA8-1771784840498

0x8580a3...4e7ba8
Smart Score
22
Win Rate
50.0%
Total P&L
+$526
Trade Count
43
Sharpe Ratio
-3.38
Sortino Ratio
-8.91
Max Drawdown
5676.6%
ROI
259.7%
Profit Factor
7.99
Kelly Fraction
0.437
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
022.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 5?BUY0.1¢5,000Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 6?BUY1.4¢348.531Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 6?BUY99.7¢5.015Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 6?BUY99.7¢5.015Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on March 5?BUY97.5¢2.738Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on March 5?BUY97.9¢3.851Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 5?BUY98.9¢2.548Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 5?BUY99.0¢2.515Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 5?BUY99.0¢2.566Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on March 4?SELL98.3¢5.56Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?SELL99.9¢8.92Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on March 5?SELL98.1¢14.45Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?BUY56.0¢8.929Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on March 5?BUY3.8¢29.026Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on March 5?BUY97.9¢4.239Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on March 5?BUY97.9¢5.107Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 5?BUY99.7¢5.015Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on March 5?BUY97.9¢5.107Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 5?BUY99.5¢5.025Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 5?BUY1.3¢135.55Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%35%< 10%5%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%55%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing22.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.23
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.3%
Win Consistency34.6%
Profit Factor0.58
Drawdown Resilience0.47
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.47
Weekly Sharpe est.0.36
Trading Activity43 trades · 4 active days
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1450d profit4d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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