0x8aA2b26179fD29EecCCf3E99592e22616611D72F-1771835318804

0x8aa2b2...11d72f

Smart Score

Win Rate

50.0%

Total P&L

+$2

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

2.17

Sortino Ratio

4.03

Max Drawdown

561.0%

ROI

0.0%

Profit Factor

4.88

Kelly Fraction

0.398

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

038.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	SELL	0.7¢	300	Mar 5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	BUY	0.7¢	300	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	2	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	BUY	51.0¢	1.961	Mar 5
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	SELL	0.7¢	454.05	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	SELL	0.7¢	145.95	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	BUY	0.7¢	600	Mar 4
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	SELL	99.5¢	600	Mar 4
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	BUY	99.5¢	600	Mar 4
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	SELL	0.9¢	400	Mar 4
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	BUY	0.9¢	400	Mar 4
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	98.6¢	300	Mar 3
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	98.6¢	300	Mar 3
Will Emma Stone win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	0.5¢	500	Mar 3
Will Emma Stone win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	0.5¢	500	Mar 3
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	1.3¢	500	Mar 2
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	1.3¢	500	Mar 2
Will Elle Fanning win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	98.9¢	660	Mar 2
Will Elle Fanning win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	98.9¢	660	Mar 2
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	SELL	2.3¢	300	Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing38.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.12

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)35.1%

Win Consistency31.0%

Profit Factor1.00

Drawdown Resilience0.81

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.81

Weekly Sharpe est.0.62

Trading Activity61 trades · 7 active days

P&L Calendar

$21d profit2d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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