0x8D13D06B1432d025Ebe74E617c1B7604Da28bed3-1769709414723

0x8d13d0...28bed3
Smart Score
52
Win Rate
50.0%
Total P&L
-$8
Trade Count
94
Sharpe Ratio
2.05
Sortino Ratio
28.73
Max Drawdown
68.2%
ROI
-4.3%
Profit Factor
0.75
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
051.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETSELL45.0¢2.14Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETBUY46.0¢2.174Mar 4
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY51.0¢11.098Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETSELL55.0¢10.04Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETBUY49.0¢10.204Mar 1
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?SELL70.0¢7.46Mar 1
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Alabama Crimson TideBUY72.0¢14.958Feb 18
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETSELL75.0¢1.79Feb 18
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETBUY55.0¢1.818Feb 18
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETSELL15.0¢6.22Feb 18
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETBUY16.0¢6.25Feb 18
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETBUY43.0¢2.326Feb 18
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 18?BUY17.0¢5.882Feb 18
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETSELL80.1¢1.39Feb 18
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETBUY71.0¢1.408Feb 18
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY50.0¢2Feb 18
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 18?SELL92.0¢2.32Feb 18
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY51.0¢30.686Feb 17
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY51.0¢6.451Feb 17
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETBUY45.0¢2.222Feb 17
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%5%< 10%10%10–20%11%20–30%31%30–50%36%50–70%5%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing51.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.83
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)46.9%
Win Consistency65.4%
Profit Factor1.34
Drawdown Resilience1.08
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.08
Weekly Sharpe est.0.82
Trading Activity94 trades · 6 active days
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P&L Calendar
$442d profit4d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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