0x8F74eB6B418630ae1065795B9f05873D0f45411A-1771498238701

0x8f74eb...45411a

Smart Score

Win Rate

30.0%

Total P&L

+$145

Trade Count

156

Sharpe Ratio

1.65

Sortino Ratio

6.50

Max Drawdown

1133.1%

ROI

16.4%

Profit Factor

3.81

Kelly Fraction

0.221

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

039.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	52.0¢	3.846	Mar 5
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	BUY	38.0¢	13.158	Mar 5
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	BUY	18.0¢	61.111	Mar 5
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	14.0¢	6.66	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	9.2¢	5.02	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	7.4¢	22.99	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	3.7¢	22.22	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	3.2¢	7.69	Mar 4
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	SELL	40.0¢	121.95	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	58.0¢	2.77	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 5?	SELL	20.0¢	3.7	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	SELL	43.0¢	4.16	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 4?	SELL	35.0¢	7.4	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	79.4¢	9.61	Mar 3
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	17.0¢	11.11	Mar 3
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	23.0¢	6.89	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	19.2¢	4.56	Mar 3
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?	BUY	6.1¢	16.393	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	8.7¢	3.49	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	28.6¢	3.497	Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing39.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.16

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)35.7%

Win Consistency38.4%

Profit Factor1.02

Drawdown Resilience0.82

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.82

Weekly Sharpe est.0.63

Trading Activity156 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$2803d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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